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How You Can Predict the Economy

Friday, July 31, 2009 by: Peter Ragnar, citizen journalist
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Key concepts: Money, Gold and Inflation

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(NaturalNews) Ever wonder how you can predict the economy? A simple rule of thumb: if the stock market goes up, you can be pretty sure the government is inflating the money supply. And when they're not, we're in a recession. The danger here is that recessions can quickly become depressions. The only way the government has of preventing another Great Depression is by printing more money. That's not a prediction, but a fact.

When the quantity of money goes up, its value goes down. When the value of money goes down, what happens? You need more of it to maintain your standard of living. If a business is to keep its doors open, it then must raise prices. Please keep this in mind: higher prices and higher wages don't cause inflation - inflation of the supply of paper currency causes higher prices. As more money gets pumped into the system, the stock market rises. Oh, and one more little thing - the national debt soars. So how does the government manage debt? The only ways they have at their disposal: print more money, and raise taxes.

When governments print more money, they spend more money, and taxpayers get the bill. Here's a historical way in which inflationary periods are corrected. A government can get scared when too many people have lost their jobs and the depression has dug too deep a hole. So they begin running the printing presses 24/7, and we get hyperinflation. If they get too scared of the worthlessness of their paper currency and the resulting inflation, they stop the presses. Now, suddenly, the money supply dries up and we go into a depression again. Bear in mind, each time we play this game, each cycle becomes more devastating and destructive than the last.

The only money that can never be inflated or debased is that of gold and silver. Why do you think that when countries lose confidence in any currency that's considered an international store of value, their central banks hoard precious metals? They know only too well the vicious cycles of inflation, recession, and depression. Here's how you can predict the economy: whenever you find inflated and unreliable money, you find a nation in decay.

All you have to do is review the history of the money supply of any crippled, dying, or dead nation, and you'll see the above cycle of inflation, recession, and depression. Some nations survive it; others do not. The only means of financial survival for either a nation or an individual is with honest money - that means gold and silver. The question is, "Does honest money (gold and silver) create an honest nation? Or does an honest nation restore the confidence of its people by a gold standard?" Gold and silver are a moral imperative, a statement and hope of honesty as an ultimate value. If you believe in honest money, you will be able to predict your personal safety through the financial storm. No matter how well-intentioned our president and congress may appear in offering bankrupt companies bailouts, or the extensions of unemployment benefits, or relief for mortgage insolvencies, the use of dishonest money does nothing to save a nation from a final collapse.

Paper money is an irredeemable failure! It is criminal fraud to take a pine tree, turn it into pulp, then paper, stamp it with some ink, and call it so many billion dollars. Every nation that has engaged in criminal fraud by debasing its currency has failed. What makes anyone think that paper fraud will prevail over honest money - gold and silver? Once again, check history and you'll quickly be able to predict your personal economy and safety.

The words of Thomas Jefferson now appear prophetic, had we only listened:
"If the American People ever allow private banks (Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Washington Mutual, The Federal Reserve, about 100+ banks tottering on bankruptcy, etc.) to control the issue of their currency, first by inflation, and then by deflation (Jefferson understood the cycles even back then), the banks and the corporations that will grow up around them will deprive the people of all property until their children wake up homeless on the continent their fathers occupied. The issuing power of money should be taken from the banks and restored to congress and the people to whom it belongs."

Maybe the elected officials forgot Article 1, Section 10 of the U.S. Constitution: "no state shall make anything but gold and silver coin a tender in the payment of debts."

At one time, the US used Continental Dollars. They became so inflated when the government attempted to pay the war debt of the Revolution, that no one would accept them any longer. That's when the wisdom of the Founding Fathers made it a law that only gold or silver was money. That one law saved our new nation from collapse. Will history repeat itself? How it does this is the only question to be raised. It will either be a return to honest money, or we will collapse as a nation and Jefferson's words will become a prophecy fulfilled.

There is good news: you can predict your own financial future by the decisions you make this very moment - investing in honest, real money. Stock up on gold and silver while you can still find it!

- Peter Ragnar



About the author

Peter Ragnar provides cutting edge information in health, longevity, raw and living foods, human excellence, and financial protection, particularly in the area of gold and silver investments. He is the president of both Roaring Lion Publishing and Golden Lion Mint.
www.PeterRagnar.com
www.GoldenLionMint.com


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